NEPSE closes -0.79% lower as decliners overwhelm advancers 275 to 69 on turnover Rs 3.28 Arba
Executive Summary
The NEPSE index closed at 2,566.76, a decline of -20.48 or -0.79% from the previous close of 2,587.24. Market breadth was decisively negative, with 275 decliners against 69 advancers, producing an advance-decline ratio of 0.25. Turnover stood at Rs 3.28 Arba across 44,777 transactions.
The session's weakness was broad-based. The Others sector recorded a median change of -1.36% with breadth of 0/9, while the Non-Convertible Debenture sector was the only notable gainer at +0.01%. Turnover fell well short of its recent median, down -39.8 over the trailing 10 sessions.
Markets Today
The index moved from 2,587.24 to 2,566.76, a loss of -20.48 points, or -0.79%. The decline was accompanied by falling turnover, which came in -39.8 below the recent median. The advance-decline ratio deteriorated to 0.25 from 0.4, a change of -37.5.
Market Breadth
Decliners outnumbered advancers by a wide margin: 275 stocks fell against 69 that rose, with 15 unchanged. The advance-decline ratio of 0.25 signals one-sided selling pressure. 0 stocks hit the negative circuit, while 0 hit the positive circuit. New 52-week lows numbered 8 against 0 new highs.
Sector Performance
The Others sector was the weakest, with a median change of -1.36% and breadth of 0/9. The Non-Convertible Debenture sector was the strongest, posting a median change of +0.01% with breadth of 19/12.
Top Movers
Among individual stocks, SCBD was the top gainer, rising +5.75%, while TVCL was the top loser, falling -5.84%. GHL recorded the highest turnover. SBIBD86 extended its losing streak to 5 sessions, and ULHC fell for a 3-session stretch. NIMBPO traded at 48.2 times its median volume of 3,290.
Turnover and Activity
Total turnover for the session was Rs 3.28 Arba, involving 9,003,388 shares across 359 scripts and 44,777 transactions. Turnover was -39.8 below the median of the trailing 10 sessions, indicating reduced participation.
Key Observations
The session was defined by broad weakness: the index fell -0.79%, decliners outnumbered advancers by a wide margin, and turnover contracted. KBL and BHCL both had book-close events on 2026-10-05, with Cash dividend 2.11% and Cash dividend 0.53% respectively; BHCL also had a book close on 2026-10-05 for Bonus 10.0%. The Others sector's 0/9 breadth underscored the lack of support across most sectors.
Technical snapshot & sector sentiment
The NEPSE index closed at 2,566.76 (-0.79%). On the latest completed session, RSI(14) read 44.3 (neutral) and the index sat below its 50-session average by 1.62%. Our regime classifier reads down-trending, low volatility. The composite sentiment gauge is Fear at 26/100. Our latest ratings (2026-10-02) put 72 counters bullish against 161 bearish.
| Sector | Median | Adv / Dec | Our read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Convertible Debenture | +0.01% | 19 / 12 | — |
| Mutual Fund | -0.10% | 17 / 20 | — |
| Non Life Insurance | -0.40% | 1 / 11 | Bearish (1 up, 12 down) |
| Commercial Banks | -0.61% | 2 / 18 | Bullish (15 up, 2 down) |
| Microfinance | -0.71% | 10 / 38 | Bearish (12 up, 35 down) |
| Development Banks | -0.89% | 2 / 13 | Bearish (2 up, 12 down) |
| Hydro Power | -0.90% | 12 / 99 | Bearish (25 up, 60 down) |
| Life Insurance | -0.92% | 2 / 11 | Bearish (4 up, 8 down) |
| Hotels And Tourism | -1.00% | 0 / 8 | Bearish (2 up, 5 down) |
| Finance | -1.05% | 2 / 12 | Bearish (0 up, 12 down) |
| Investment | -1.14% | 0 / 8 | Bearish (2 up, 4 down) |
| Manufacturing And Processing | -1.35% | 1 / 15 | Bullish (7 up, 3 down) |
| Others | -1.36% | 0 / 9 | Bearish (1 up, 7 down) |
“Our read” rolls up our stored technical verdicts for each sector's constituents (a documented heuristic, not advice).
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